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Assuming that a constant travel-time budget, geographic constraints and short-term infrastructure constraints persist as fundamental features of global mobility, what long-term results can one expect In high-income regions, {{U}} (41) {{/U}} NorthAmerica, our picture suggests that the share of traffic {{U}} (42) {{/U}} supplied by buses and automobiles will decline as high-speed transport rises sharply. In developing countries, we {{U}} (43) {{/U}} the strongest increase to be in the shares first for buses and later for automobiles. Globally, these {{U}} (44) {{/U}} in bus and automobile transport are partially offsetting. In all regions, the share of lowspeed mil transport will probably continue its strongly {{U}} (45) {{/U}} decline. We expect that throughout the period 1990~2050, the {{U}} (46) {{/U}} NorthAmerican will continue to devote most of his or her 1.1-hour travel-time {{U}} (47) {{/U}} to automobile travel. The very large demand {{U}} (48) {{/U}} air travel (or high-speed mil travel) that will be manifest in 2050 {{U}} (49) {{/U}} to only 12 minutes per person a day; a little time goes a long way in the air. In several developing regions, most travel {{U}} (50) {{/U}} in 2050 will still be devoted to nonmotorized modes.Buses will persist {{U}} (51) {{/U}} the primary form of motorized transportation in developing countries for decades.{{U}} (52) {{/U}} important air travel becomes, buses, automobiles and {{U}} (53) {{/U}} lowspeed trains will surely go on serving vital functions.{{U}} (54) {{/U}} of the super-rich already commute and shop in aircraft, but average people will continue to spend most of their travel time on the {{U}} (55) {{/U}}. |
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One of the basic characteristics of capitalism is the private ownership of the major means of production-capital. The ownership of large amounts of capital can bring {{U}} (61) {{/U}} profits, as well as economic and political power. Some recent theorists, {{U}} (62) {{/U}} have argued that our society has moved to a new stage of {{U}} (63) {{/U}} that they call "postindustrial" society. One important change in such society is that the ownership of {{U}} (64) {{/U}} amounts of capital is no longer the only or even the most important {{U}} (65) {{/U}} of profits and influence; knowledge as well as {{U}} (66) {{/U}} capital brings profits and influence. There are many {{U}} (67) {{/U}} with the thesis above, not the least of {{U}} (68) {{/U}} is that wealthy capitalists can buy the experts and knowledge they need to keep their profits and influence.But this does not {{U}} (69) {{/U}} the importance of knowledge in an advanced industrial society, as the {{U}} (70) {{/U}} of some new industries indicates. {{U}} (71) {{/U}}, genetic engineering and the new computer technology have {{U}} (72) {{/U}} many new firms and made some scientists quite rich. In {{U}} (73) {{/U}} with criticism of the postindustrial society thesis, however, it must also be {{U}} (74) {{/U}} that those already in control of huge amounts of capital (i. e. , major corporations) soon {{U}} (75) {{/U}} to take most profits in these industries based on new knowledge. Moving down from the level of wealth and power, we still find knowledge increasingly {{U}} (76) {{/U}}. Many new high-tech jobs are being created at the upper-skill, low-paying service {{U}} (77) {{/U}}. Something like a caste line is emerging centered around knowledge. Individuals who fall too far behind in the {{U}} (78) {{/U}} of knowledge at a young age will find it almost impossible to catch up later, no matter how hard they try, Illiteracy in theEnglish language has been a severe {{U}} (79) {{/U}} for many years in the United States, but we are also moving to the point when computer illiteracy will hinder many more people and {{U}} (80) {{/U}} them to a life of low-skill and low paid labor. |
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Passage 4 To us it seems so natural to put up an umbrella to keep the water off when it rains.But actually the umbrella was not invented as protection against rain. Its first use was as a shade against the sun. Nobody knows who first invented it, but the umbrella was used in very ancient times. Probably the first to use it were theChinese, was back in the eleventh century B、C、 We know that the umbrella was used in ancientEgypt andBabylon as a sunshade.And there was a strange thing connected with its use: it became a symbol of honor and authority. In the FarEast in ancient times, the umbrella was allowed to be used only by royalty or by those in high offices. InEurope, the Greeks were the first to use the umbrella as a sunshade.And the umbrella was in common use in ancient Greece.But it is believed that the first persons inEurope to use the umbrella as protection against rain were the ancient Romans. During the MiddleAges, the use of the umbrella practically disappeareD、Then it appeared again in Italy in the late sixteenth century.And against it was considered a symbol of power and authority.By 1680, the umbrella appeared in France and later on inEnglanD、 By the eighteenth century, the umbrella was used against rain throughout most ofEurope. Umbrellas have not changed much in style during all this time, though they have become much lighter in weight. It wasn’t until the twentieth century that women’s umbrellas began to be made in a whole variety of colors. |
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{{B}}PassageThree{{/B}}Scienceisadominan
Science is a dominant theme in our culture. Since it touches almost every facet of our life, educated people need at least some acquaintance with its structure and operation. They should also have an understanding of the subculture in which scientists live and the kinds of people they are.An understanding of general characteristics of science as well as specific scientific concepts is easier to attain if one knows something about the things that excite and frustrate the scientist. This book is written for the intelligent student or lay person whose acquaintance with science is superficial; for the person who has been presented with science as a musty storehouse of dried facts; for the person who has been presented with science as the production of gadgets; and for the person who views the scientists as some sort of magician. The book can be used to supplement a course in any science, to accompany any course that attempts to give an understanding of the modern world, or--independently of any course-simply to provide a better understanding of science. We hope this book will lead readers to a broader perspective on scientific attitudes and a more realistic view of what science is who scientists are, and what they do. It will give them an awareness and understanding of the relationship between science and our culture and an appreciation of the roles science may play in our culture. In addition, readers may learn to appreciate the relationship between scientific views and some of the values and philosophies that are pervasive in our culture. We have tried to present in this book an accurate and up-to-date picture of the scientific community and the people who populate it. That population has in recent years come to comprise more and more women. This increasing role of women in the scientific subculture is not a unique incident but, rather, part of the trend evident in all segments of society as more women enter traditionally male-dominated fields and make significant contributions. In discussing these changes and contributions, however, we are faced with a language that is implicitly sexist, one that uses male nouns or pronouns in referring to unspecified individuals. To offset this built-in bias, we have adopted the policy of using plural nouns and pronouns whenever possible and, when absolutely necessary, alternating he and she. This policy is far from being ideal, but it is at least an acknowledgment of the inadequacy of our language in treating half of the human equally. We have also tried to make the book entertaining as well as informative. Our approach is usually informal. We feel, as do many other scientists, that we shouldn’t take ourselves too seriously.As the reader may observe, we see science as a delightful pastime rather than as a grim and dreary way to earn a living. |
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